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Instructors: Fabian Benedikt Kümmeler; Sebastian Schäffer
Event type:
Practical course/lab
Displayed in timetable as:
96-4.22
Credits:
2,0
Language of instruction:
German
Min. | Max. participants:
6 | 20
Waiting list:
Waiting list quota: 20%
More information:
This course is open to all students of the Master's programme "Peace and Security Studies" (regardless of whether they are enrolled in the one-year or two-year version).
The course is also open to students of other degree programmes. The prerequisite for participation in the course is attendance at the first session. In case of non-attendance, the place will be forfeited and will be made available for latecomers.
Comments/contents:
In this BLV, we will focus on the military conflict in Ukraine, including the frozen conflicts in its (fragile) neighbouring states Belarus and the Republic of Moldova. We aim to use strategic foresight to enable you to develop future scenarios for finding peace in the war of aggression on Ukraine and for resolving frozen conflicts in its neighbouring states. Moreover, we will jointly discuss your future scenarios for conflict resolution and the political, socioeconomic and ethnographic development of the region with respect to fragile statehood, both military and frozen conflict, war crimes, human rights, and social unrest. Particular focus is on the conflicts in EU’s Eastern Neighbourhood, i.e. (Eastern) Ukraine, Belarus, and the Republic of Moldova, including Transnistria and Gagauzia.
In the first part, we discuss current aspects and challenges of conflict resolution in the post-Soviet area, considering both historical, social, political and regional causes of conflict and the role of international organizations and prevention mechanisms. Particular attention is given to the war of aggression on Ukraine, the protest movements as in Belarus, and the 5+2 talks (Moldova, Transnistria, the OSCE, the Russian Federation, Ukraine, the European Union and the United States), which aspire working out a comprehensive settlement based on “the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Republic of Moldova within its internationally recognized borders with a special status for Transnistria within Moldova”. In the second part, the participants will develop and discuss future scenarios for the region under the guidance of the lecturing team.
Learning objectives:
see above
Didactic concept:
This block seminar is vitally interactive. Students obtain and deepen topic-related knowledge in joint discussions, both in dialogue with and through lecture by the teachers as well as in the course of simulation activities for the development of the future scenarios and conflict resolution perspectives for the region.
Literature:
- Jakob Hedenskog and John Zachau: Russia’s War on Ukraine: Consequences for Georgia and Moldova, SCEEUS Commentary No. 6, 2022, https://www.ui.se/forskning/centrum-for-osteuropastudier/sceeus-commentary/russias-war-on-ukraine--consequences-for-georgia-and-moldova/
- Sebastian Schäffer (ed.): Ukraine in Central and Eastern Europe. Kyiv's Foreign Affairs and the International Relations of the Post-Communist Region. Ibidem Press 2022.
- Sebastian Schäffer: What Is Vladimir Putin’s Endgame? There are five different scenarios about how the situation in Ukraine could develop. Fair Observer, 30. March 2022, https://www.fairobserver.com/region/europe/sebastian-schaffer-vladimir-putin-president-russia-ukraine-war-ukrainian-russian-news-79291/
- Cristina Gherasimov, The Future of EU’s Eastern Partnership Beyond 2020: EU’s Engagement in a Contested Eastern Neighborhood Amidst Internal Crisis and Geopolitical Competition (DGAP Report 1, December 2019), Berlin 2019, https://dgap.org/en/research/publications/future-eus-eastern-partnership-beyond-2020
- Stanislav Secrieru and Sinikukka Saari (eds.), The Eastern Partnership A Decade On: Looking Back, Thinking Ahead (EUISS Chaillot Paper, 153), Paris 2019, https://www.iss.europa.eu/sites/default/files/EUISSFiles/cp153_EaP.pdf
Additional examination information:
Prior Knowledge:
Good command of English, interest in the subject, high degree of initiative, willingness to engage in debate, willingness to participate in a simulation workshop.
Valuation basis:
Unmarked block seminar (BLV). Course credits (2 ECTS) by regular attendance and continuous participation during both seminar days, preparatory reading and active participation in the simulation/future scenarios training, plenary discussions and group assignments.
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